Statement of ECMWF

05-09 May 25
Convention Center - Auditorium della Tecnica,
Rome, Italy

Statement of ECMWF

Group on Earth Observations – GEO Global Forum 2025 & GEO-20 Plenary

Statement of ECMWF

ECMWF is looking forward to participating in the GEO Global Forum in Rome.

We want to use this opportunity to celebrate 20 years of GEO and 50 years of ECMWF, both happening this year.

Both our organisations have started from a concrete challenge that no single country or organisation could meet alone. For ECMWF, it was to address the critical and most difficult research problems in medium-range numerical weather prediction. We have grown into an organisation which provide Numerical Weather Prediction products from medium- to long-range both as research and an operational centre and advanced strongly into the developments of Earth observation services through Copernicus, Earth system modelling and recently also artificial intelligence.

ECMWF supports GEO’s ambitions on Earth Intelligence, integrating Earth observation data, socio-economic data, research and science, citizen observations, indigenous knowledge and other sources of information. In particular, ECMWF is a key partner in cooperation and coordination activities focused on stimulating user driven solutions through combining data sources with state-of-the-art modelling, predictions and scenario analysis.

ECMWF enables and supports many activities and developments in the GEO community via the European Union Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S, https://climate.copernicus.eu/), the Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS, https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/), and through the flood and fire forecasting systems run on behalf of JRC who operates the Emergency Management Service (CEMS, https://emergency.copernicus.eu/).

  • C3S provides free and open data products about the past, current and future climate. The popular global re-analysis ERA5 dataset, besides being used extensively in the annual European State of the Climate (cf. https://climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2024) and many other applications, has also become the dataset of choice to train AI/ML weather prediction models. It has proven significant socio-economic value (https://climate.copernicus.eu/new-study-era5s-socio-economic-benefits) and can continue to unlock many new potential downstream applications for the GEO community.
  • CAMS provides accurate analyses and forecasts detailing the composition of the atmosphere as well as linked emissions, with information including air pollutants, stratospheric ozone, aerosols and dust as well as wildfires at European and global scales, climate forcing and greenhouse gases and anthropogenic CO2 and CH4 emissions. On this latter, the new CAMS ‘Methane Hotspot Explorer’ shows large methane plumes from sources detected using the Copernicus Sentinel-5P TROPOMI satellite data (https://apps.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/methane-explorer). This and other downstream applications on health, energy and compliancy reporting continue to serve the wider GEO community.
  • On behalf of CEMS (JRC), ECMWF runs the European Forest Fire (EFFIS) and Global Wildfires Information Systems (GWIS) to provide operational fire danger forecasts and the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) aiming to increase preparedness against hydrological extremes and help emergency responses efforts across the world.

Through Destination Earth (DestinE, https://destine.ecmwf.int), ECMWF is developing a Digital Twin Engine operating two Digital Twins of the Earth: one on Weather-Induced Extremes and one on Climate Change Adaptation. As such, we capitalise on investments in Europe on Earth system modelling and on high performance computing and other digital infrastructure and tools, including AI/ML. DestinE is a programme of the European Commission and implemented by ECMWF, ESA and EUMETSAT.

Both Copernicus and DestinE activities at ECMWF are based on significant inputs from the wider European science and technology communities. Through this, ECMWF contributes to a #oneEuroGEO approach and EuroGEO’s objectives to combine, coordinate and cooperate Europe’s efforts.

Last but not least, ECMWF’s roadmap towards a fully open data policy on ECMWF numerical weather data by the end of 2025, extends its reach and will support even more those entities and countries which are most in need. This will come into play through our recently started engagement in the Africa-EU Space Partnership Programme (https://international-partnerships.ec.europa.eu/policies/programming/programmes/africa-eu-space-partnership-programme_en) in which ECMWF will implement the Space for Early Warning activities in partnership with the African Union Commission, African Regional Climate Centres, EUMETSAT and the wider European meteorological community and as such strongly contributed to UN’s Early Warning for All.

The participation in GEO allows ECMWF to keep a close relationship with the global Earth intelligence data user community and we are looking forward to many more years of fruitful collaboration. ECMWF wishes GEO a happy 20th anniversary!